Politics & Elections

Poll: Bloomberg wouldn't win NYC

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Latest survey doesn't bode well for presidential run

SurveyUSA conducted an identical survey exclusively for WABC in four separate geographies to measure the awareness of New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg and possible support for a third-party run for president.

For each survey, approximately 800 registered voters were interviewed, 3,200 voters in all. Surveys were conducted in New York City, the 50 United States, the state of Pennsylvania, and the state of California.

The results do not bode well for the mayor.

Even in the five boroughs of New York City, where Bloomberg is best known by voters know him best, he does not finish above 28 percent no matter who his Democratic or Republican opponents would be.

  • Against Hillary Clinton and Rudolph Giuliani, Bloomberg gets 18 percent
  • Against Barack Obama and Giuliani, Bloomberg gets 21 percent
  • Against Clinton and John McCain, Bloomberg gets 21 percent
  • Against Obama and McCain, Bloomberg gets 23 percent
  • Against Clinton and Mike Huckabee, Bloomberg gets 25 percent
  • Against Obama and Huckabee, Bloomberg has his best showing; he gets 28 percent, but still loses 2-to-1 to Obama
  • In the critical swing-state of Pennsylvania, one in five voters have never heard of Bloomberg and just 14 percent have a favorable impression of him.

    In an election for president in Pennsylvania today, if Bloomberg is on the ballot, he receives at most 16 percent of the vote, no matter who his Democratic or Republican opponents are. he and consistently finishes third of three candidates.

    In the delegate-rich state of California, whose electoral votes are coveted in a run for the White House, three in 10 voters have never heard of Michael Bloomberg and just 8 percent have a favorable impression of him.

    In an election for president in California today, if Bloomberg is on the ballot, he receives at most 12 percent of the vote, no matter who his Democratic or Republican opponents are, and consistently finishes third of three candidates.

    Finally, in a poll conducted of all 50 states, one in four voters have never heard of Michael Bloomberg and just 11 percent have a favorable impression of him. In an election for president today, if Bloomberg is on the ballot, he receives at most 13 percent of the vote. He also consistently finishes third of three candidates.

    (Copyright ©2009 WABC-TV/DT. All Rights Reserved.)

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