AccuWeather Forecast for the New York area
NEW YORK (WABC) -- We're definitely looking at an interesting "roller-coaster ride" in the Eastern Region during the next four or five days, complete with a surge of unseasonably warm air in the short term and some rain followed by a significant cold push.
Although it will be noticeably colder, there's going to be a 'lull' in theaction here on Saturday and Saturday night& Then, the focus of our attention on Sunday will be shifting to a case where some wintry precipitation will be occurring on the front end of our next storm -- making some of our lives interesting before an eventual change to plain rain occurs later on Sunday night or early Monday. But first, there's today: there's a warm front on this morning's surface map, which is located in the mid Atlantic states.
And while we've been advertising unseasonably mild weather for a few days, we should bear in mind that most places east of the Appalachians still have winds out of the east or southeast prior to daybreak& So, the marine influence that is evident will cause fog to develop and some of it will be locally dense& In addition to this, there'll be a spotty shower, some drizzle and definitely a lot of clouds everywhere&
We expect temperatures to rise slowly in coastal communities, because sea surface temperatures right now and mainly in the 40s& But much farther inland, typically in those places we often say are 'colder' in a December weather scenario, the mercury will climb into the 60s this afternoon or this evening!! The focal point of the steadiest rain won't be concentrated on areas east of the Appalachians today, but instead it will be from late tonight into tomorrow& The leading edge of some exceptionally cold air is only starting to penetrate the Midwest early this morning, and subzero cold is gripping much of the Rockies and northern Plains&
So, we still believe the concept that this arctic cold front will manage to slow down to some extent later tonight and tomorrow as a wave of low pressure starts to develop along it& It is THIS WAVE that will be enhancing our rain tomorrow.. The steady rain will actually begin as early as this evening in some places located west of I-95&
With the wind out of the south and southwest for a while tonight, temperatures won't change all that much --- in fact, some coastal areas will probably see their highest temperatures during the next 36 hours occurring during the wee hours of Friday morning& Rain will soak most of the area tomorrow as the temperature starts off in the 50s and 'bounces around' for a while before eventually trending lower in the afternoon& We envision that most places will either be in the lower 40s or upper 30s by the start of the evening commute, and we'll be keeping a close eye on the radar early tomorrow night as colder air catches up with the precipitation&
As our p.m. crew pointed out yesterday, those places that have the best chance of getting a slushy coating to an inch of snow early tomorrow night will be some of the higher elevations of northeastern Pennsylvania, southeastern New York State and in northwestern New Jersey --- because these are the places where snow has the best chance to fall for a couple of hours after it gets dark on Friday night& Not worried about it sticking to paved surfaces, but some of the wet pavement in these areas could get slick later at night& For real good 'accumulating snow', the best bets are across New York's Southern Tier (between Jamestown and Binghamton) as well as north of I-80 in Pennsylvania and west of the Laurel Mountains in central Pennsylvania& Some of these places will pick up three or four inches&
The weekend will be colder -- that's a "given"& But while clouds early Saturday should break for a decent amount of sunshine with temperatures in the upper 30s / lower 40s, there'll be clouds and precipitation associated with a case of 'overrunning' which will be starting up on Sunday& Areas south of the Mason-Dixon Line will probably see some rain and sleet as early as Sunday morning, and then the potential for a 'mixed bag' will increase in areas farther north as the afternoon and evening hours wear on& The moisture overrunning a cold dome of air associated with high pressure is expected to continue on Monday, and the slow process of warming the boundary layer should change any snow or ice to plain rain early Monday, a day when the big cities and coastal areas will have temperatures peaking in the 50s& When this storm departs, we'll be stepping down into a colder pattern once again by the middle of next week&
Have a good day!!
accuweather, rain, forecast
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