Poll: Nifong, Black Tied

  Eyewitness News

(05/01/06 -- DURHAM) (WTVD) -- As attention turns to Tuesday's Democratic primary for Durham County district attorney, an exclusive Eyewitness News Flash Poll shows the top two candidates tied for the lead.

SurveyUSA polled 492 likely voters in Durham County this weekend on behalf of WTVD. Former prosecutor Freda Black got 39 percent support in the poll. Current District Attorney Mike Nifong had support from 38 percent of respondents. Durham attorney Keith Bishop trailed with 11 percent.

Twelve percent of those polled are undecided, making it likely that one of the candidates will win at least 40 percent of the vote and avoid a runoff.

Other findings in our poll:

• Black runs strongest among voters older than 65.
• Nifong runs slightly stronger than Black among black voters, who make up 48 percent of the electorate, according to SurveyUSA's turnout model. If black voters turn out in smaller numbers, Black would benefit. But Nifong would benefit if blacks vote in larger numbers.
• Nifong has a slight advantage among liberals and more-educated voters.
• Black has a significant advantage among conservatives and less educated voters.

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