Local Elections

Poll: Perdue, Neal and Obama take the lead

Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Vote 2008

Vote 2008 (WTVD Photo)

With just eight weeks to the North Carolina primary we wanted to know where North Carolinians stood on the candidates.

Beverly Perdue continues to hold a double-digit lead over Moore in NC Democratic Governor's Primary.

In a Democratic Primary for Governor of North Carolina held today with just eight weeks to the vote, Lieutenant Governor Beverly Perdue defeats state Treasurer Richard Moore, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV. Perdue wins 44% to 28%, Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one month ago, the contest has tightened ever-so-slightly. Perdue led by 20 points then, leads by 16 points now. 28% choose another candidate, or are undecided.

Moore has lost ground among voters age 50+, but has gained ground among voters under 50. Moore has gained ground among conservatives, but has failed to make inroads against Perdue among moderates. Perdue leads 4-to-3 among whites, leads 2-to-1 among African Americans. In Raleigh, Greensboro, Southern, and Eastern NC, the contest is stable. In Charlotte, however, there is confusion in voters' minds, as the number of undecided voters has almost tripled compared to SurveyUSA's first poll in this contest 3 months ago. Many Democrats may be looking for the chance to vote for Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory in the Governor's contest -- but McCrory is a Republican, and will not appear on the Democratic Primary ballot.

28% Moore
44% Perdue
3% Nielsen
25% Other / Undecided

McCrory holds onto lead in NC GOP Governor Primary

With eight weeks to the Republican Primary for Governor of North Carolina, Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory continues to lead State Senator Fred Smith and businessman Bill Graham, who continue to be tied for 2nd place, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV. One month ago, McCrory led by 17 points, now by 8. McCrory has lost ground in Raleigh/Greensboro, and in southern and eastern NC, where he now runs 4th in both regions, at 9%. McCrory's entire base of support is concentrated in Charlotte, where he is 42 points atop his nearest challenger. Among moderates, Graham has caught McCrory. Among voters age 50+, Smith has closed to within 6 of McCrory.

16% Graham
12% Orr
26% McCrory
18% Smith
28% Undecided

Free-for-all in NC Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate

In a Primary for U.S. Senate, State Senator Kay Hagan and investment banker Jim Neal are tied, but combined, they get fewer votes than "undecided," according to a SurveyUSA poll. Neal is at 21%, Hagan at 18%, Marcus Williams, Howard Staley, and Duskin Lassiter are in single digits, and 44% say 'no thanks' to all five of them. The contest is too unsettled for anything thoughtful to be said.

18% Hagan
21% Neal
6% Lassiter
4% Staley
7% Williams
44% Other / Undecided

Clinton does not cut into Obama's lead

In a Democratic Primary in North Carolina with eight weeks to the vote, Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 49% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one month ago, before Obama won Virginia, Maryland, and Wisconsin, and before Clinton won Texas and Ohio, the contest in NC is largely unchanged. Then, Obama led by 10, now by 8. In Charlotte, Obama led by 2 points a month ago, by 7 points now. In Southern and Eastern NC, Obama led by 4 points a month ago, by 8 points now. Only in Raleigh and Greensboro did Clinton slice into Obama, trimming his lead from 16 points a month ago to 8 points. Among women, Obama and Clinton are effectively even, as they were last month. Among men, Obama leads by 13. Clinton leads 5-to-3 among whites. Obama leads 5-to-1 among blacks. Obama leads among voters under age 50. The two are tied among voters age 50+.

41% Clinton
49% Obama
6% Other
4% Undecided

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